Content par jaayein

Agla concept dhoondhein

PAATH

Bahut baar dekhne se kuch na kuch mil hi jaata hai.

Seedhi baat

Bina kisi signal waale data par 40 niyam jaanchein. Phir bhi sabse achha niyam achha dikhega. Isliye nahi ki woh kaam karta hai. Isliye ki aapne 40 baar dekha. Bataaya number khoj ka sabse bada nateeja hai. Sabse bada chunne par number upar ki taraf jhukta hai. Isi wajah se achhe backtest waala niyam aksar naye data par turant ruk jaata hai.

Yeh kahan aata haiStep 4Evidence: Yeh Pattern Asli Hai Ya Nahi ke 6 steps mein se
Kya check karein4Is par bharosa karne se pehle
Aam galtiyan2Har ek ki wajah ke saath

Pehle yeh padho

2

Yeh kaise hota hai, kadam dar kadam

  1. Shuruaat

    Chart mein bina kisi signal ke data par niyam baari-baari jaanchte hain. Sabki asal sahi-trade dar theek 50% hai. Line ab tak mila sabse achha nateeja hai.

  2. Aage kya hota hai

    Pehla niyam 50% ke paas hai. Niyam 10 tak ab tak ka sabse achha lagbhag 58% hai. Niyam 40 tak 62% se upar hai. Beech mein kuch naya nahi seekha. Sirf khoj jaari rehne se line badhi.

  3. Iska matlab — aur kya nahi

    Akela 62% nateeja sachchi khoj jaisa lagta hai. Farq number ka nahi, tareeke ka hai. Isse pehle kitne niyam aazmaaye, yeh zaroori baat hai. Isliye khoj ke nateeje ke saath aazmaayi cheezon ki ginti batani chahiye. Khoj ka sudhaar karne ke baad bhi tika nateeja, bina sudhaar ke bade number se zyada keemti hai.

20 random rule results ka grid, jismein sabse achha result sirf kismat se achha dikhta hai.
  • Ab tak mili sabse zyada sahi readings (%)
  • Yahan har rule ka asal rate · 50

Bina kisi signal ke data par 40 niyam. Sabki asal dar 50% hai. Badhti line khoj hai, nayi jaankaari nahi.

Chart ka data dekhein
Upar ke chart ke peeche ke numbers.
Jaanche gaye rulesAb tak mili sabse zyada sahi readings (%)
150.4
252.1
454.3
655
856.8
1057.9
1458.6
1859.4
2260.1
2660.7
3061.2
3561.8
4062.4

Isse kya establish nahi hota

Reading hai ki niyamon mein sabse achha number badha hua hai. Khaas niyam ke liye ise jaanchne ka raasta aisa data hai jise khoj ne chhua nahi. Chunav se alag data par bhi tikne waala niyam sirf sanyog se nahi chuna lagta. Girne waala nateeja sanyog se mila ho sakta hai. Faisla karne ka level is chart par nahi. Yeh alag data ka saboot hai, jo agle page par hai.

Kya check karein

4

yahan tak pahunchne se pehle kitne rules dekhe gaye the.

Kya bataaye number mein khoj ka sudhaar hai ya seedha number hai?

Kya niyam aise data par jaancha jo use chunne mein shaamil nahi tha?

Kai khojon ka sabse achha nateeja sirf sanyog se aa sakta hai.

Aam galtiyan

2
  • Kitne niyam dekhe, bina bataaye sabse achha niyam dena. Doosri ginti pehle number ko matlab deti hai.

  • Data se milaayi seema ko aisa pesh karna jaise pehle chuni thi.

Khud ko check karo

Bina kisi signal ke data par 40 niyam jaanche. Sabse achha kaisa dikhega?

  • Lagbhag 50%, kyunki koi kaam nahi karta.
  • 50% se behtar, sirf isliye ki 40 dekhe gaye.
  • Pata nahi. Bina signal ka nateeja kahin bhi ho sakta hai.
Answer dikhao

B. 50% se behtar, sirf isliye ki 40 dekhe gaye.

Bataaya number 40 nateejon ka sabse bada hai. Sabki asal dar 1/2 ho tab bhi sabse bada chunna upar ki taraf jhuka hota hai. Isi liye nateeje ke saath aazmaaye roopon ki ginti batani hai.

Aksar poochhe sawaal

3
Aazmaaye niyamon ki ginti ka sudhaar kaise karein?

Bina signal ke sabse achhe nateeje ke phailaav se tulna karein. Akela niyam ka phailaav kaafi nahi. Khoj ka sudhaar yahi hai. Bina sudhaar ki jaanch se yeh zyada sakht hai.

Kya yeh sirf formal backtests par lagu hai?

Nahi. Chart achha dikhne tak aankh se seema badalna bhi wahi khoj hai. Kitni baar kiya, uska record bhi nahi. Isliye mushkil aur badhti hai.

Sudhaar kya hai?

Jaanch se pehle niyam likhein. Aazmaaye roop ginein. Unka sudhaar karein. Phir aise data par jaanchein jo chunav mein shaamil nahi tha.

Yeh kahan se aata hai. Chart padhne ka yeh tareeka aam taur par sikhaya jaata hai. Yeh kisi circular ka niyam nahi hai, isliye iske liye koi document nahi hai.

Iske baad yeh padho

Pichhla step: 60% achha hai? Pehle base rate poochho.. 60% achha hai? Pehle poochho baseline kya hai. Denominator, sample aur cost ke bina koi percentage adhoora hai.

Sample Size

The sample size is how many independent observations a measurement rests on.

Aage padho