Base rates: yeh asal mein kitni baar hua hai?
Base rate batata hai ki koi cheez pehle kitni baar hui hai. Ise hazaaron purane maukon par naapa jaata hai. Har mauke ko usi din bazaar ke bartav se milaya jaata hai. Natija uncertainty ke saath likha jaata hai.
3 niyam, aur poori baat inhi mein hai
Hisaab se pehle register kiya gaya
Har pattern data chhune se pehle ek public dated log mein likha gaya. Uske saare 300 variants bhi wahin likhe gaye. Headline pehle se chuni gayi beech wali setting se aati hai. Us setting se nahi jo baad mein sabse achhi dikhi.
Har number ke saath ek placebo hai
Placebo ke bina dawa ka trial kuch saabit nahi karta. Agar dawa par 70% mareez theek hue, toh bhi iska matlab nahi. Matlab tab banta hai jab pata ho ki sugar pill par 68% theek hue. Chadhte bazaar mein 60% ka rate ek sugar pill hai. Yahan har number apne placebo ke saath chhapa hai.
Jinme kuch nahi dikha, woh bhi yahin hain
Neeche ke 1 patterns bazaar se alag nahi dikh paaye. Woh baaki patterns ke saath usi list mein, usi size par hain.
Gaps
| Pattern | Control se farak | 95% interval | Effective n | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Ke Upar Gap Up Khula Share pichhle band se tay doori upar khula, aur woh already apne 20 din ke moving average ke upar tha. Shart, grid, control aur is study ki limits. | −3.7pp | −4.4 to −2.9pp | 34,316 | Mazboot sample |
| Gap down below 20dma The stock opened at least 2% below yesterday's close, on a day when it was already trading below its 20-day average price. Yeh page abhi English mein hai. | −0.5pp | −1.5 to +0.5pp | 20,564 | Theek-thaak sample |
Price structure
| Pattern | Control se farak | 95% interval | Effective n | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Close Wapas Average Ke Upar Close apne 20 din ke moving average ke upar wapas aaya, aur us se pehle woh kai sessions neeche bita chuka tha. Is shart ki definition aur uski limits. | −1.7pp | −2.3 to −1.2pp | 60,340 | Mazboot sample |
| Naya Sixty-Session High Share ne pichhle sixty sessions ka sabse ooncha band diya, aur volume apne 20 din ke average se kam nahi tha. 2 shartein, ek din, aur unki limits. | −2.1pp | −2.9 to −1.4pp | 68,015 | Mazboot sample |
| Uptrend Mein 3 Girte Din Lagataar 3 sessions neeche band, phir bhi share apne 50 din ke moving average ke upar. Yeh shart kaise likhi gayi, aur woh kya nahi keh sakti. | +3.3pp | +2.7 to +3.9pp | 79,956 | Mazboot sample |
Volume
| Pattern | Control se farak | 95% interval | Effective n | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume Uchhla, Daam Nahi Hila Volume apne 20 din ke average se kai guna zyada, lekin close pichhle close ke bilkul paas. 2 baaton ka ek saath hona, aur is study ki limits. | −1.3pp | −2.4 to −0.3pp | 9,111 | Mazboot sample |
Volatility
| Pattern | Control se farak | 95% interval | Effective n | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Session Ki Sabse Tang Range Din ka high se low tak ka phailaav 7 sessions mein sabse tang, aur close ke muqable ek tay seema se neeche. Shaant din ki shart aur uski limits. | +0.9pp | +0.5 to +1.3pp | 1,32,421 | Mazboot sample |
Seasonality
| Pattern | Control se farak | 95% interval | Effective n | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahine Ka Shuruaati Session Mahine ka teesra trading session, un shares ke liye jo apne 100 din ke average ke upar the. Yeh study effective sample ka sabse saaf udaharan hai. | +1.8pp | +0.6 to +3.0pp | 9,638 | Theek-thaak sample |
Market breadth
| Pattern | Control se farak | 95% interval | Effective n | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poore Bazaar Ka Girta Din Jis din eligible securities ka median tay seema se zyada gira — shart bazaar ki hai, ek naam ki nahi. Study ki definition, uska control aur uski ginti. | +2.1pp | +1.2 to +3.0pp | 8,246 | Mazboot sample |
Register hue, par jawab nahi aaya
Yeh baaki patterns ke saath hi likhe gaye the, par inka hisaab abhi nahi hua. Inke liye zaroori data yahan uplabdh nahi hai. Yeh list mein bane rehte hain.
Neeche har line waise hi hai jaise registration log mein English mein likhi gayi.
The sessions following a quarterly results announcement, split by whether the stock rose or fell on the announcement day itself.
NOT COMPUTED. It needs a point-in-time announcement date for every result between 2011 and 2026, stamped by filing date rather than period end. The daily bhavcopy carries no such field and no free public archive reconstructs it back to 2011. Registered rather than dropped, and it stays here unanswered until that dataset exists.
Register hua 2026-09-05. Log id post-earnings-announcement-drift.
A single session's percentage change in a stock's futures open interest, split by direction.
NOT COMPUTED. It needs the derivatives bhavcopy rather than the cash one, and a futures-eligible point-in-time universe to go with it. Registered now, at the same time as everything else, so that whatever it eventually shows was declared before it was seen.
Register hua 2026-09-05. Log id raw-open-interest-change.
The sessions around a security being added to a broad index at a scheduled reconstitution.
NOT COMPUTED. It needs as-of index membership back to 2011. Today's constituent list cannot answer it — using it would be the reconstitution survivorship channel the method section warns about, measured instead of controlled for.
Register hua 2026-09-05. Log id index-reconstitution-entry.
Koi bhi number padhne se pehle
Aapko kitni baar sahi hona padta hai
Frequency ka tab tak koi paimana nahi, jab tak aapke bracket aur charges ki maang na pata ho. Pehle woh nikaaliye. Yahan ki har table mein wahi column hai.
Kholo →Shabdon ka matlab
Base rate, matched control, effective sample size, break-even frequency. Har ek ke saath yeh bhi ki woh kya nahi batata.
Kholo →Registration log
Har pattern, pehle se chuni gayi settings aur likhe jaane ki date ke saath.
Kholo →Is hub ke baare mein sawaal
Base rate kya hota hai?
Base rate batata hai ki koi cheez pehle kitni baar hui hai. Ise hazaaron purane maukon par naapa jaata hai. Har mauke ko usi din bazaar ke bartav se milaya jaata hai. Natija uncertainty ke saath likha jaata hai.
Har number ke saath control kyun dikhaya jaata hai?
Kyunki is daur mein Indian bazaar 3 mein se lagbhag 2 rolling 20-din ki windows mein upar gaya. Isliye koi bhi upar ki taraf wala pattern 60% ke aas-paas ki frequency dikhata hai. Akele mein iska koi matlab nahi. Har event ke liye usi din ki milti-julti securities li jaati hain. Unhe bilkul usi tareeke se naapa jaata hai. Chhapne layak number dono ka farak hai.
Kuch pages kyun kehte hain ki pattern ne kuch nahi dikhaya?
Kyunki har pattern hisaab se pehle ek public log mein register hota hai. Phir har registered pattern ko page milta hai, natija jo bhi ho. Jo site sirf chale hue patterns chhape, usne yeh nahi bataya ki usne kitni baar dekha.
Kya yahan kisi stock ka naam hai?
Nahi. Yahan ka har figure saalon mein sainkdon stocks ka average hai. SEBI ke 8 May 2026 ke circular ke hisaab se, price data kam se kam 30 din purana hai.
Kya main yeh numbers kahin aur use kar sakta hoon?
Haan. Har page ki ek downloadable file CC BY 4.0 licence ke tahat hai. Usmein page ka har figure hai. Saath mein sample, quality checks aur robustness checks bhi hain. Bas source ka naam aur method page ka link dijiye.
Yahan ka har figure kaise banta hai
Method page point-in-time universe samjhata hai, jismein delisted securities bhi rehti hain. Usi din se liya gaya matched control bhi. Block-bootstrap interval bhi samjhaya gaya hai. Koi rate dikhne se pehle sample ko kaun se quality checks paar karne hote hain, yeh bhi. Aur yeh data kaun si 4 cheezein nahi kar sakta.
Methodology padho