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Unit study guide · NISM Series XV

Fundamentals of Research

7 questions in this unit

What this unit covers

Key ideas

From the practice bank · 1

An analyst begins by studying GDP growth, inflation and interest rates, then selects attractive industries, and only afterward chooses companies within those industries. This is best described as:

Top-down fundamental analysis typically progresses from Economy to Industry to Company (E-I-C). Bottom-up analysis begins more directly with company-specific opportunities and may give less priority to the macro sequence. Remember: Top-down analysis narrows the opportunity set from macro conditions to industries and then companies.

Hint Common mistake: Calling any fundamental analysis “bottom-up” regardless of where the process begins.

XV-071

From the practice bank · 2

Which research process is most consistent with legitimate mosaic analysis?

Mosaic analysis builds an investment view by combining pieces of information that are individually public or not material/non-price-sensitive, together with analysis. It is different from using unpublished price-sensitive information. Remember: Mosaic analysis is about lawful synthesis, not a label for using confidential material information.

Hint Common mistake: Assuming any non-public observation is automatically permissible regardless of materiality or confidentiality.

XV-072

From the practice bank · 3

An analyst estimates a statistical model relating sales growth to industry volumes, prices and macro variables using historical data. Which research approach is being used most directly?

Quantitative or econometric analysis uses mathematical and statistical techniques to study relationships in data. A model can help structure evidence, but a historical statistical relationship does not automatically prove causation or guarantee future forecasts. Remember: Quantitative models organise evidence but should not be mistaken for certainty or causation.

Hint Common mistake: Assuming a high historical statistical fit guarantees future predictive accuracy.

XV-073

From the practice bank · 4

Which investor is following a passive investment approach?

Passive investing generally seeks to track or replicate a benchmark rather than outperform it through continuous discretionary security selection. Active approaches attempt to add value through selection, timing or allocation decisions. Remember: Passive investing focuses on benchmark exposure. Active investing relies on discretionary decisions intended to outperform or achieve a differentiated outcome.

Hint Common mistake: Equating low trading frequency with passive investing even when security selection is discretionary.

XV-074

From the practice bank · 5

An analyst begins with a detailed study of a company's products, unit economics, management, financial statements and competitive position, and only then considers the broader economy. Which research approach is this?

Bottom-up fundamental analysis starts with the company and its business economics rather than beginning with macroeconomic and industry views. Remember: Top-down starts broad and narrows. Bottom-up starts with the company.

Hint Common mistake: Assuming every fundamental-analysis process must begin with macroeconomic analysis.

XV-101

From the practice bank · 6

An analyst notices that investors are buying a stock mainly because 'everyone else in the market is buying it', with little independent analysis of value. Which behavioral tendency is most directly illustrated?

Herd mentality describes the tendency to follow the actions of a larger group rather than rely on independent analysis. Remember: Behavioral finance examines how psychological tendencies can influence investment decisions.

Hint Common mistake: Treating crowd participation as evidence that the underlying valuation must be correct.

XV-102

From the practice bank · 7

Crude-oil prices rise sharply and remain high. Assuming selling prices and hedges are unchanged, which listed business is most likely to receive a direct operating benefit from the move?

A sustained increase in crude prices can raise realised revenue for an upstream producer, while fuel- or petrochemical-intensive users may face higher input costs if they cannot pass them through or hedge them. Remember: Commodity moves can affect equity sectors differently depending on whether the company is a producer or consumer of the commodity.

Hint Common mistake: Assuming one commodity price move has the same impact on every company.

XV-103