Poori kahani
Shuruaat
Stock A ki yeh midcap misaal dekhein. Lagbhag 2 hafte price dheere badha. Phir lagbhag 412 se 419 ke chhote daayre mein tika. Din 4-9 mein din ke andar girne par 412 ka ilaaka baar-baar tal bana. Is daayre mein roz ka ausat volume lagbhag 1.0 million shares tha. Price kai baar 412 se uchhla. Isliye kai chart dekhne waale is ilaake ko seedha support maante.
Kya badla
Din 10 par daayra toota. Price 413.5 ke paas khula aur poore session gira. Low 402.1 tha aur close 403.4, saaf taur par 412 ke support ke neeche. Volume lagbhag 2.65 million shares tha. Yeh pehle ke ausat se 2 guna se zyada tha. Din 11 par price aur neeche 397.6 tak gaya. Phir aur bhaari volume par 405.1 par close hua aur lambi neeche ki wick bani. Din 12 par price tezi se palta. Open 406.5, high 419.8 aur close 418.7 tha. Price toote support ke upar laut aaya. Volume is set ka sabse zyada, lagbhag 3.12 million tha. Din 13-15 mein price 412 ke upar tika aur range ke naye highs ki taraf badha. Support ke neeche close ke baad 1 ya 2 sessions mein upar lautne ko aam taur par bear trap kehte hain. Volume badhne par yeh naam aur saaf baithta hai. Breakdown ne girawat ke liye trades ko badhaava diya hoga, par woh tika nahi. Aur girawat ke liye trade lene waalon ke khilaaf price jaldi lauta.
Seekh
Sabke dekhe support ke neeche 1 close sirf 1 jaankaari hai. Yeh disha badalne ki pakki pushti nahi hai. Is data mein break 2 sessions raha, phir price level ke upar lauta. Reversal din ka volume breakdown din se zyada tha. Sabak ke 2 hisse hain. Log level break ko zyada wazan dete hain jab woh kai sessions tikta aur pusht hota hai. Badhte volume par toote level ke upar jaldi lautna bhi pehchaani chaal hai. Ise samajhna chahiye, bina soche turant trade nahi karna chahiye.
- Open / high / low / close · khaali: close ≥ open · bhara: close < open
- Volume
Stock A ki midcap misaal ke 15 sessions ke roz ke prices aur volume. Din 4-9 mein lagbhag 1.0M ausat volume par price lagbhag 412 ke support ke upar hai. Din 10 par 2.65M volume ke saath close 403.4, support ke neeche hai. Din 11 par price aur neeche jaakar sambhalta hai. Din 12 par set ke sabse zyada volume ke saath 418.7 ka close support ke upar lautta hai.
Chart ka data dekhein
| Din | Open | High | Low | Close | Volume | Delivery % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 398 | 405.5 | 396.8 | 404.2 | 11,80,000 | 58% |
| 2 | 404.5 | 411 | 403 | 409.8 | 13,20,000 | 60.5% |
| 3 | 410 | 415.2 | 408.5 | 413.6 | 14,50,000 | 57.2% |
| 4 | 413.8 | 418 | 412.2 | 416.4 | 12,10,000 | 55% |
| 5 | 416 | 419.5 | 413 | 414.7 | 10,90,000 | 52.4% |
| 6 | 414.5 | 417.8 | 412.6 | 415.9 | 9,80,000 | 54.1% |
| 7 | 415.6 | 418.3 | 412.9 | 414.1 | 10,15,000 | 53% |
| 8 | 414 | 416.7 | 412.4 | 415.2 | 9,40,000 | 51.8% |
| 9 | 415 | 417 | 412.8 | 413.9 | 10,05,000 | 50.5% |
| 10 | 413.5 | 414 | 402.1 | 403.4 | 26,50,000 | 41.2% |
| 11 | 402.8 | 406.2 | 397.6 | 405.1 | 29,80,000 | 44.8% |
| 12 | 406.5 | 419.8 | 405.9 | 418.7 | 31,20,000 | 63.5% |
| 13 | 419.2 | 424.5 | 416 | 422.8 | 25,40,000 | 61% |
| 14 | 423 | 428 | 420.5 | 426.3 | 18,80,000 | 59.4% |
| 15 | 426 | 430.2 | 423.4 | 428.1 | 16,20,000 | 57.9% |
Ise kaise padhein
6| Term | Yahan iska matlab |
|---|---|
| Support level | Price ka ilaaka, yahan lagbhag 412, jahan girawat par khareedaar baar-baar aate dikhe. Chart dekhne waale ise haal ki range ka tal maante hain. |
| Breakdown | Support ko kaatkar neeche close hona. Din 10 ka 403.4 close saaf taur par 412 ke neeche tha. Pehli nazar mein yahi neeche ka break dikhta hai. |
| Volume ka uchhaal | Haal ke ausat ke mukaable traded quantity ka badhna. Din 10 ka 2.65M aur din 12 ka 3.12M, shaant range ke lagbhag 1.0M se kaafi zyada tha. Ise aam taur par asamaanya khareed-bikri maante hain. |
| False breakdown aur reclaim | Price 1 ya 2 sessions mein toote level ke upar close ho. Din 12 ke 418.7 close ne 412 ka support waapas paaya, jo din 10 par toota tha. |
| Bear trap | Is poore silsile ka naam. Breakdown fail hota hai aur price palatta hai. Aur girawat ke liye trade lene waalon ke khilaaf price chalta hai. |
| Short covering | Pehle se khule short trades band karne ke liye khareedna. Achanak zyada khareed se price jaldi upar laut sakta hai. Bhaari volume par tez reversal ki yeh 1 wajah ho sakti hai. |
Isse kya establish nahi hota
- 1 misaal se pata nahi chalta ki support ke neeche close kitni baar palatta hai aur kitni baar girawat jaari rehti hai. Asli breakdown bhi support ke neeche sirf 1 close se shuru ho sakte hain.
- Yeh data banawat samjhaane ke liye taiyaar kiya gaya tha. Isse live bazaar mein faayde, ya baar-baar milne waale nateeje ka saboot nahi milta.
- Yahan volume ke aankde misaal ke liye hain. Din ke andar ka data, aur F&O ke badlaav isi tasveer ko aur mushkil bana sakte hain.
- Reversal poora hone ke baad hi pattern ko naam milta hai. Din 10 ke close par yeh asli breakdown ki shuruaat jaisa hi dikhta hai.
Ek hi chart, 2 tarah se
2 hafte ki yahi banawat bina kisi trap ke bhi ban sakti hai. Din 10 ki girawat aur jaldi sambhalna sirf 1 din ki ghatna ho sakti hai. Koi bada block sell order, index ka wazan badalne waale orders, ya poore bazaar ka gap-down poore sector ko gira sakta hai. Phir bazaar sambhal sakta hai. Is reading mein support ka khaas matlab nahi tha. Baahar se aaye orders ne share ka sirf 1 session kamzor kiya. Woh orders khatam hone par share pehle ki dheemi chaal par laut gaya. Isse lagbhag wahi candles ban sakti hain.
Bear trap aur sanyog mein farq karne ke liye alag saboot chahiye. Reversal din ka volume breakdown din se zyada ho, jaise yahan hai. Upar lauta level agle kai sessions tike, phir neeche na palte. Reversal din par delivery percentage sambhale. Bazaar ya sector ki breadth bhi upar aaye, taaki chaal sirf isi share mein na ho. F&O mein short trades band hon. Badhte price ke saath ghatta open interest covering se milta hai.
Data mein din 10 ka close 403.4, lagbhag 412 ke support ke neeche hai. Volume 2.65 million hai. Kya akeli yeh candle downtrend shuru hone ki pushti karti hai? Baad ka kaunsa aankda reading badalta hai?
Answer dikhao
Nahi. Support ke neeche 1 close ka matlab saaf nahi hai. Us pal yeh asli breakdown ki shuruaat jaisa dikhta hai. Reading din 12 par badalti hai. Price 412 ke support ke upar 418.7 par close hota hai. Volume set ka sabse zyada 3.12M hai. Level 2 sessions mein waapas aaya. Isi banawat ko aam taur par bear trap kehte hain. Yeh naam hui chaal samjhata hai. Isse trade apne aap tay nahi hota.