Base rate: woh number jiske bina koi dawa padha hi nahi ja sakta.
Doosre naam: base rate, unconditional probability, benchmark rate, what happened anyway.
Ise kaise padhein
Maan lijiye koi kehta hai ki uska rule aksar sahi nikalta hai. Yeh sunne mein achha lagta hai, lekin adhoora hai. Sawaal yeh hai ki bina us rule ke, wahi cheez kitni baar hoti thi.
Agar dono ke beech farak nahi hai, toh rule ne kuch nahi jodha. Isliye base rate koi alag topic nahi hai — woh us paimane ka doosra hissa hai jiske bina pehla hissa bemani hai.
Yeh kya nahi batata
Base rate koi sthir sachchai nahi hai. Uske peeche bhi ek sample aur ek avadhi hoti hai, aur woh badalta rehta hai. Ek daur par nikala gaya number doosre daur ko zaroori nahi describe kare.
Aur ise galat aabadi par nikaalna aasan hai. Agar dawa ek tarah ke din par hai aur base rate saare dinon par nikala gaya hai, toh dono numbers ek doosre ke saamne rakhe hi nahi ja sakte.
Experiment mein dekho
Naya market — Regimes ka ek hidden mixture unfold hone dein. Tay karein ki koi bhi construction observations par fit baithti hai ya nahi.
Jude hue concepts
60% achha hai? Pehle base rate poochho.
60% achha hai? Pehle poochho baseline kya hai. Denominator, sample aur cost ke bina koi percentage adhoora hai.
Lesson kholo