Pattern kaise banta hai
Shuruaat
Index futures ka price dheere gira aur open interest badha. Yeh short build-up ki pehchaan hai. Isse khule short trades ka pool banta hai.
Ise kya shuru karta hai
Price upar mudta hai aur kul milaakar unche closes deta hai. Har badhat waale din open interest badhne ke bajaay ghatta hai. Badhte price ke saath ghatta OI short covering ki pehchaan hai.
Iska matlab — aur kya nahi
Yeh long build-up ka ulta hai. Long build-up mein price aur OI saath badhte hain. Isse naye longs ki reading milti hai. Price ko OI ke badlaav ke saath padhein. Isse pata chalta hai ki trades khul rahe hain ya band ho rahe hain. Aage ka price nahi pata chalta.
- Futures ka price
- Open interest (index)
Din 5 se price badhta hai aur open interest har din ghatta hai. Yeh short covering ki aam pehchaan hai.
Chart ka data dekhein
| Din | Futures ka price | Open interest (index) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17,000 | 125 |
| 2 | 16,960 | 127 |
| 3 | 16,920 | 130 |
| 4 | 16,880 | 134 |
| 5 | 16,980 | 122 |
| 6 | 17,070 | 118 |
| 7 | 17,120 | 114 |
| 8 | 17,190 | 110 |
| 9 | 17,240 | 106 |
| 10 | 17,310 | 100 |
Price aur open-interest ka matrix
Price ki disha ko open interest ke badlav ke saath milana positioning samajhne ka mool dhaancha hai. Yeh batata hai ki positions khul rahi hain ya band ho rahi hain. Yeh koi forecast nahi hai.
Long build-up
Naye long positions khul rahe hain.
Aur padho →Short covering
Purane shorts band karne ke liye kharid rahe hain.
Aap yahan hoShort build-up
Naye short positions khul rahe hain.
Aur padho →Price ↓ · OI ↓Long unwinding
Purane longs band ho rahe hain.
Aur padho →Isse kya establish nahi hota
Price badhta rahe, par open interest ghatna rok kar badhne lage to short covering ki reading toot jaati hai. Naye longs jud rahe hain. Yeh long build-up hai. Iska matlab alag hai. Covering ka apna ant hota hai. Shorts band hone par woh rukti hai. OI ghatna rukne ke baad bhi badhat chale to uski wajah kuch aur hai.
Confirmation checklist
4Kya badhte price ke saath open interest covering mein ghat raha hai ya naye longs ke saath badh raha hai?
Kya near aur next month mein chaal ek jaisi hai ya sirf khatam hoti series mein roll hai?
Kya alag participant categories ka OI data short trades ghatne ka sahaara deta hai?
OI sabka net aankda hai. Yeh andaaza hai, pakki pushti nahi.
Ise padhne mein aam galtiyan
2Maan lena ki badhta price hamesha nayi khareed hai. Shorts band bhi ho sakte hain.
Expiry hafte ke ghatte OI ko covering maanna, jab woh sirf contracts roll karna ho sakta hai.
Price badhta hai aur open interest ghatta hai. Kaunsi baat ko sahaara milta hai?
- Naye khareedaar aa rahe hain, isliye badhat ko naya sahaara mila hai.
- Covering khatam hone ke baad bhi badhat jaari rahegi.
- Short trades band ho rahe hain.
Answer dikhao
C. Short trades band ho rahe hain.
Ghatte open interest ka matlab hai ki kul khule contracts kam ho rahe hain. Trades khulne ke bajaay band ho rahe hain. Shorts ki waapsi khareed se aayi badhat ka apna ant hai. Shorts band hone par woh rukti hai. Isi liye ise aksar ulta, nayi long khareed, samajh liya jaata hai.
Aksar poochhe sawaal
3Kya badhta price aur ghatta OI hamesha short covering hai?
Yeh aam reading hai, pakki baat nahi. OI sabka net aankda hai. Expiry roll ya longs band hone se bhi OI ghat sakta hai.
Short covering aur long build-up kaise alag hain?
Short covering mein price badhta aur OI ghatta hai. Trades band hote hain. Long build-up mein price aur OI dono badhte hain. Naye trades khulte hain.
Kya yeh khareedne ka signal hai?
Nahi. Yeh khule trades ki sthiti samajhne ka tareeka hai. Isse khareedne ka faisla apne aap nahi nikalta.