Content par jaayein

Agla concept dhoondhein

EVIDENCE

Zyada trades lene se edge create nahi hota.

Seedhi baat

Din ke 20 trades loss bharne ke 20 mauke nahi. Ausat trade ki expected value negative ho, toh zyada trades nateeja zyada pakka karte hain, behtar nahi. Baar-baar karna ausat ke plus ya minus ko badhaata hai. Isi ganit se positive ausat ko dohraana upyogi hai. Isliye pehla sawaal ausat ka sign hai. Trades ki ginti nahi.

Yeh kahan aata haiStep 3Costs: Jo Har Trade Ko Paar Karna Hai ke 5 steps mein se
Kya check karein4Is par bharosa karne se pehle
Aam galtiyan2Har ek ki wajah ke saath

Pehle yeh padho

2

Yeh kaise hota hai, kadam dar kadam

  1. Shuruaat

    Chart mein ausat trade ka nateeja thoda negative hai. Position ka size tay hai. Line 100 trades ka chalta kul hai.

  2. Aage kya hota hai

    Shuru mein line bhatakti hai. Pehle 10 ya 15 trades mein woh 0 ke upar aur neeche lagbhag utni baar hai. Yahin lagta hai ki tareeka kaam kar sakta hai. Phir ausat ka jhukaav haavi hota hai. Line wapas nahi aati.

  3. Iska matlab — aur kya nahi

    Sirf trades ki ginti badli. Negative ausat ka nateeja 10 trades par saaf nahi tha. 100 par saaf tha. Zyada trades ne zyada mauke nahi diye. Pehle se negative sign ko zyada pakka dikhaya. Activity ke baare mein ganit ki yeh upyogi baat hai.

100 trades ke 2 running totals alag hote jaate hain, 1 chhote plus average wala, 1 chhote minus wala.
  • Ab tak ka kul (₹)
  • Level · 0

Har trade ka ausat thoda negative hai. 10 trades par saaf nahi, 100 par saaf. Zyada trades ne pakkaapan badhaaya, mauke nahi.

Chart ka data dekhein
Upar ke chart ke peeche ke numbers.
Liye tradesAb tak ka kul (₹)
00
5140
10-60
1590
20-180
25-120
30-340
35-260
40-480
50-610
60-845
70-910
80-1,180
90-1,290
100-1,520

Isse kya establish nahi hota

Sab kuch ausat trade negative hone par tika hai. Chhota run uska sign nahi bata sakta. Yeh wohi baat doosri taraf se hai. Kaafi bade sample ka positive aana is vyakhya ko galat karega. Jaanch ki hai, balance ki nahi. Shuru ka bhatakna kisi bhi taraf ka saboot maan lena jaal hai. Kisi bhi ausat ke aas-paas random badlav aise dikhte hain.

Kya check karein

4

Charges ke saath ausat trade kitna hai, yeh kehne ko kaafi saboot hai?

Itne trades jawab saaf karenge ya sirf bada?

Ausat ka sign tay hai ya silsila abhi shuru ke bhatakne mein hai?

Trades ki baarambaarata badhaane se pehle ausat fayda, ausat loss aur charges milaayein.

Aam galtiyan

2
  • Zyada activity ko zyada mauke samajhna. Wohi ausat zyada baar lag raha hai.

  • Shuru ke bhatkav ko kisi bhi taraf ka evidence maan lena hi asli jaal hai — woh sirf wahi hai jo kisi bhi average ke aas-paas randomness dikhti hai.

Khud ko check karo

Har trade ka ausat thoda negative hai. 10 ki jagah 100 trades kiye. Kya badla?

  • Purane losses bharne ke zyada mauke
  • Kuch khaas nahi, kyunki har trade ka ausat wohi hai
  • Nateeja behtar hone ki jagah zyada pakka hota hai
Answer dikhao

C. Nateeja behtar hone ki jagah zyada pakka hota hai

Bada sample asal ausat ke paas jaata hai, uska sign jo bhi ho. Zyada trades ne woh dhundhlaapan hataaya jisse chhota run sambhalne layak lagta tha. Unhone mauke nahi diye.

Aksar poochhe sawaal

3
Kya bada sample madad nahi karta?

Woh ausat pata karne mein madad karta hai. Ausat badalta nahi. Bada sample nateeje ko uski mool value ke paas tikaata hai, sign jo bhi ho.

Toh kya mujhe kam trade karne chahiye?

Yeh page koi salah nahi deta. Ganit kehti hai ki trades ki ginti ausat ko guna karti hai, sudhaarti nahi. Pehle ausat pata karna hai.

Kitne trades ke baad sign saaf hoga?

Aksar logon ke anumaan se zyada. Site ka sample-size lesson samjhata hai ki 12 ghatnaayein lagbhag kuch kyon nahi batati.

Yeh kahan se aata hai. Chart padhne ka yeh tareeka aam taur par sikhaya jaata hai. Yeh kisi circular ka niyam nahi hai, isliye iske liye koi document nahi hai.

Iske baad yeh padho

Pichhla step: Barabar aane ke liye kitni baar sahi hona padta hai.. Jab jeet aur haar barabar size ki hon, toh sirf barabar aane ke liye zaroori hit rate arithmetic se tay hota hai.

Sample Size

The sample size is how many independent observations a measurement rests on.

Aage padho