Expectancy: ausat mein ek faisla kitne ka hai.
Doosre naam: expectancy, expected value per trade, average trade, edge per trade.
Is page ke kuch hisse abhi English mein hain.
Formula
Expectancy = (Hit rate x Average win) - ((1 - Hit rate) x Average loss) - Cost per round trip.
Ise kaise padhein
Expectancy 2 cheezein ek saath ginti hai: kitni baar kuch theek hota hai, aur theek aur galat hone par kitna aata-jaata hai. Sirf pehli cheez dekhna sabse aam galti hai.
Kam hit rate wala tareeka bhi positive ho sakta hai agar jeet haar se kaafi badi ho. Aur bahut oonchi hit rate wala tareeka negative ho sakta hai agar ek haar kai jeeton ko kha jaaye.
Yeh kya nahi batata
Expectancy ausat hai, isliye woh yeh nahi batati ki natije kis kram mein aayenge. Positive expectancy ke saath bhi ek lambi haar ki lad aa sakti hai.
Aur woh lad itni lambi ho sakti hai ki ausat apna asar dikhaye usse pehle hi paisa khatam ho jaaye. Isliye expectancy akela paimana kaafi nahi hota.
Jude hue concepts
Barabar aane ke liye kitni baar sahi hona padta hai.
Jab jeet aur haar barabar size ki hon, toh sirf barabar aane ke liye zaroori hit rate arithmetic se tay hota hai.
Lesson kholo